Gian Villante vs Jake Collier
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
17-14-0Record14-10-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'2"Height6'3"
76"Reach78"
261 lbsWeight257 lbs
Bellmore Kickboxing AcademyTeamPit MMA
What's at stake
Gian Villante is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Jake Collier carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+11→ 1593
If they lose-13→ 1569
If they win+18→ 1566
If they lose-14→ 1534
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1630 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1613 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Gian VillanteJake Collier
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Gian Villante52%
Jake Collier 48%Elo baseline: 55%
The Combat Edge model makes Gian Villante a 52% favorite over Jake Collier in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (55%).
Gian Villante holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1582 to 1548, a 34-point edge.
Gian Villante enters on a 4-fight loss streak.
Gian Villante finishes 71% of wins inside the distance, Jake Collier 71%.
Gian Villante and Jake Collier share 1 common opponent: Chris Barnett.
Jake Collier carries a 2-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.