Combat Edge Intelligence

Giga Chikadze vs Irwin Rivera

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Irwin Rivera
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Irwin Rivera

“The Beast”

12-7-0BantamweightEFC

1585Solid

Tale of the tape

15-6-0Record12-7-0
FeatherweightDivisionBantamweight
6'0"Height5'6"
74"Reach36,0"
145 lbsWeight135 lbs
Kings MMATeamSanford MMA

What's at stake

Giga Chikadze is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Irwin Rivera carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Giga ChikadzeNow 1687
If they win+11→ 1698
If they lose-21→ 1666
Irwin RiveraNow 1585
If they win+21→ 1606
If they lose-11→ 1574

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1695 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1559 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.75
Sig. strikes / min
3.36
43%
Strike accuracy
44%
3.47
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
5.07
60%
Strike defense
58%
0.18
Takedown avg.
1
33%
Takedown accuracy
17%
66%
Takedown defense
70%
0.18
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Giga ChikadzeIrwin Rivera
15501600165017001750202020212022202320242025

Win method breakdown

9 (60%)
KO/TKO
6 (50%)
1 (7%)
Submission
1 (8%)
5 (33%)
Decision
5 (42%)

Combat Edge model read

Giga Chikadze72%
Irwin Rivera 28%Elo baseline: 64%

The Combat Edge model makes Giga Chikadze a 72% favorite over Irwin Rivera in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (64%).

Giga Chikadze holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1687 to 1585, a 102-point edge.

Giga Chikadze enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Giga Chikadze finishes 67% of wins inside the distance, Irwin Rivera 58%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.