Gilbert Burns vs Mike Davis
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
22-10-0Record12-4-0
WelterweightDivisionLightweight
5'10"Height6'0"
71"Reach72"
170 lbsWeight155 lbs
Kill Cliff FCTeamFusion X-Cel
What's at stake
Gilbert Burns is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +9 while a loss costs more — Mike Davis carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+9→ 1754
If they lose-15→ 1730
If they win+20→ 1683
If they lose-12→ 1651
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1777 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1630 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Gilbert BurnsMike Davis
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Gilbert Burns60%
Mike Davis 40%Elo baseline: 62%
The Combat Edge model makes Gilbert Burns a 60% favorite over Mike Davis in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (62%).
Gilbert Burns holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1745 to 1663, a 82-point edge.
Gilbert Burns enters on a 5-fight loss streak.
Gilbert Burns finishes 68% of wins inside the distance, Mike Davis 83%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.