Gilbert Burns vs Mike Davis

Apr 28, 2019 · ESPN+

DateApr 28, 2019

DivisionLightweight

StatusScheduled

VenueBB&T Center

BroadcastESPN+

Start times & how to watch

Start time & how to watch

Main card starts Sunday, April 28, 2019 — watch on ESPN+.

US East (ET): Sun 8:00 PM
US West (PT): Sun 5:00 PM
United Kingdom: Mon 1:00 AM
Central Europe: Mon 2:00 AM
Australia (Sydney): Mon 10:00 AM
Your time

Gilbert BurnsDurinho |22-10-0Gilbert Burns vs Mike DavisMike DavisBeast Boy |12-4-0

Gilbert BurnsDurinho22-10-0

Fight Overview

RoundTBD

Time4:16

22-10-0Record12-4-0

40Age34

5'10"Height6'0"

71"Reach72"

170 lbsWeight155 lbs

LightweightWeight ClassLightweight

Mike DavisBeast Boy12-4-0

Combat Edge Intelligence

Fight Intelligence

Gilbert Burns owns a 82-point Elo edge (good). Neither side shows more surface-level statistical edges across the tracked UFC categories. There are no clean shared-opponent matches in tracked pro MMA history.

Compare Gilbert Burns and Mike Davis across their careers →

Elo Recent career Elo trajectory

Recent three-year Elo paths for both fighters. Ratings shown here are current career context; the event-specific prediction or verified result remains on this Fight page.

Gilbert BurnsMike Davis

Recent form

Gilbert BurnsL L L L L · -68 Elo last 5

LLLLL

Mike DavisL W L W W · +23 Elo last 5

LWLWW

Elo edge

Gilbert Burns1746-15 last move

Mike Davis1664-14 last move

Why they are ranked here

Gilbert Burns#32 of 332 active Welterweight fighters · 1746 Elo

Biggest gain: Beat Neil Magny (rated 1783 at the time): +20.
Costliest loss: Lost to Kamaru Usman (rated 1815 at the time): -19.
Last 5 fights: 0 wins, 5 losses, -68 Elo in total.
Next places: 5 points behind #31 Jake Matthews, 0 ahead of #33 Jacobe Smith.

Mike Davis#128 of 397 active Lightweight fighters · 1664 Elo

Biggest gain: Beat Thomas Gifford (rated 1637 at the time): +21.
Costliest loss: Lost to Gilbert Burns (rated 1719 at the time): -21.
Last 5 fights: 3 wins, 2 losses, +23 Elo in total.
Next places: 0 points behind #127 Damon Jackson, 0 ahead of #129 Rasul Magomedov.

Every rated fight moves a rating by an amount set by the opponent's rating at the time, the result and how it ended. Places are counted among fighters active in the last 24 months. How the rating is calculated

Fight intelligence

Model forecast and your pick

Inspect the model’s probability and Elo baseline, then make your own call before the card starts.

What's at stake

Gilbert BurnsNow 1746 · #32 Welterweight

Wins by decision+9→ 1755

Loses by decision-15→ 1731

Mike DavisNow 1664 · #128 Lightweight

Wins by decision+20→ 1684

Loses by decision-12→ 1652

What-if simulatorPremium

Pick the winner and how the fight ends to see both new ratings, both new division ranks, and who each fighter would pass.

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Projected with the same rules as the rankings, at today's ratings. Split decisions move ratings less and finishes more.

Stat advantages

Gilbert BurnsvsMike Davis

Sig. strikes landed per min

3.16vs0

Takedown accuracy

11%vs53%

Sig. strikes absorbed per min

3.68vs5.19

Takedown average

2.04vs2.48

Finishing profile

Gilbert Burnssubmission leads 41% of wins

Mike DavisKO/TKO leads 67% of wins

Common opponents

No clean shared-opponent match found in tracked pro MMA history.

Tale of the tape

Gilbert BurnsMike Davis

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

3.16Sig. strikes landed per min0

UFC welterweight average : 3.66

48Sig. strike accuracy44

UFC welterweight average : 46%

3.68Sig. strikes absorbed per min5.19

UFC welterweight average : 3.86

53Sig. strike defense57

UFC welterweight average : 53%

2.04Takedown average2.48

UFC welterweight average : 1.41

11Takedown accuracy53

UFC welterweight average : 30%

54Takedown defense64

UFC welterweight average : 59%

0.44Submission average0.40

UFC welterweight average : 0.54

6Wins by knockout8

9Wins by submission2

7Wins by decision2

5Losses by knockout0

0Losses by submission1

5Losses by decision3

Gilbert Burns vs Mike Davis is a scheduled Lightweight fight on UFC FIGHT NIGHT : JACARE VS HERMANSSON. Gilbert Burns enters with a 22-10-0 record and Mike Davis enters with a 12-4-0 record. Combat Edge tracks the matchup preview, UFC stats, Elo edge, shared opponents, event date, venue, and full fight card.