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Combat Edge Intelligence

Gilbert Smith vs J.P. Saint Louis

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →
Gilbert Smith
us

Gilbert Smith

“Chocolate Thunder”

13-6-0WelterweightLFA

1612Solid

Tale of the tape

13-6-0Record12-5-0
WelterweightDivisionMiddleweight
5'9"Height5'10"
TBDReachTBD
170 lbsWeight176 lbs
Team VictoryTeamFusion X-Cel Performance· 1623 avg Elo · 4 rated

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Gilbert SmithNow 1612
If they win+16→ 1628
If they lose-16→ 1596
J.P. Saint LouisNow 1613
If they win+16→ 1629
If they lose-16→ 1597

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1553 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1497 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

1.09
Sig. strikes / min
Not available
41%
Strike accuracy
Not available
2.73
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
Not available
35%
Strike defense
Not available
3.51
Takedown avg.
Not available
60%
Takedown accuracy
Not available
0%
Takedown defense
Not available
1.17
Submission avg.
Not available

Trajectory

Gilbert SmithJ.P. Saint Louis
15501600165020152016201720182019202020212022202320242025

Win method breakdown

1 (8%)
KO/TKO
2 (17%)
8 (62%)
Submission
8 (67%)
4 (31%)
Decision
2 (17%)

Combat Edge model read

The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Gilbert Smith and J.P. Saint Louis within a point of even.

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1612 vs 1613), separated by just 1 points.

J.P. Saint Louis enters on a 5-fight win streak.

Gilbert Smith finishes 69% of wins inside the distance, J.P. Saint Louis 83%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.