Combat Edge Intelligence

Gilbert Smith vs Robert Valentin

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Gilbert Smith
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Gilbert Smith

“Chocolate Thunder”

13-6-0WelterweightLFA

1612Solid

Tale of the tape

13-6-0Record12-6-0
WelterweightDivisionMiddleweight
5'9"Height6'2"
TBDReach 77"
170 lbsWeight185 lbs

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Gilbert SmithNow 1612
If they win+16→ 1628
If they lose-16→ 1596
Robert ValentinNow 1612
If they win+16→ 1628
If they lose-16→ 1596

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1553 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1561 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

1.09
Sig. strikes / min
1.30
41%
Strike accuracy
56%
2.73
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.72
35%
Strike defense
33%
3.51
Takedown avg.
0.59
60%
Takedown accuracy
50%
0%
Takedown defense
55%
1.17
Submission avg.
1.78

Trajectory

Gilbert SmithRobert Valentin
155016001650201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

1 (8%)
KO/TKO
3 (25%)
8 (62%)
Submission
8 (67%)
4 (31%)
Decision
1 (8%)

Combat Edge model read

Robert Valentin70%
Gilbert Smith 30%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Robert Valentin a 70% favorite over Gilbert Smith in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Gilbert Smith's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1612 vs 1612), separated by just 0 points.

Robert Valentin enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Gilbert Smith finishes 69% of wins inside the distance, Robert Valentin 92%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.