Gilbert Urbina vs Orion Cosce
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
Compare any two fighters →
Tale of the tape
8-4-0Record8-2-0
WelterweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'3"Height5'11"
75"Reach71,0"
170 lbsWeight173 lbs
BMF RanchTeamLost Boys Jiu-Jitsu and Muay Thai
What's at stake
Orion Cosce is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +15 while a loss costs more — Gilbert Urbina carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+17→ 1614
If they lose-15→ 1582
If they win+15→ 1632
If they lose-17→ 1600
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1588 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1538 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Gilbert UrbinaOrion Cosce
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Gilbert Urbina60%
Orion Cosce 40%Elo baseline: 47%
The Combat Edge model makes Gilbert Urbina a 60% favorite over Orion Cosce in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Orion Cosce's way (47%).
Orion Cosce holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1617 to 1597, a 20-point edge.
Gilbert Urbina finishes 63% of wins inside the distance, Orion Cosce 88%.
Gilbert Urbina carries a 4-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.