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Combat Edge Intelligence

Gilbert Urbina vs Vlasto Čepo

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Vlasto Čepo
rs

Vlasto Čepo

“Vlasto / El Chapo”

14-4-0MiddleweightUFC

1633Solid

Tale of the tape

8-4-0Record14-4-0
WelterweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'3"Height6'1"
75"Reach73"
170 lbsWeight186 lbs
BMF RanchTeamAmerican Top Team Zagreb· 1618 avg Elo · 5 rated

What's at stake

Vlasto Čepo is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +14 while a loss costs more — Gilbert Urbina carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Gilbert UrbinaNow 1597
If they win+18→ 1615
If they lose-14→ 1583
Vlasto ČepoNow 1633
If they win+14→ 1647
If they lose-18→ 1615

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1588 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1512 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

6.68
Sig. strikes / min
Not available
58%
Strike accuracy
Not available
4.72
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
Not available
48%
Strike defense
Not available
2.73
Takedown avg.
Not available
22%
Takedown accuracy
Not available
0%
Takedown defense
Not available
0.68
Submission avg.
Not available

Trajectory

Gilbert UrbinaVlasto Čepo
16001650202420252026

Win method breakdown

3 (38%)
KO/TKO
10 (71%)
2 (25%)
Submission
4 (29%)
3 (38%)
Decision
0 (0%)

Combat Edge model read

Gilbert Urbina56%
Vlasto Čepo 44%Elo baseline: 45%

The Combat Edge model makes Gilbert Urbina a 56% favorite over Vlasto Čepo in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Vlasto Čepo's way (45%).

Vlasto Čepo holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1633 to 1597, a 36-point edge.

Gilbert Urbina finishes 63% of wins inside the distance, Vlasto Čepo 100%.

Gilbert Urbina carries a 2-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.