Combat Edge Intelligence

Gillian Robertson vs Luana Pinheiro

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

17-9-0Record11-5-0
StrawweightDivisionStrawweight
5'5"Height5'4"
63"Reach 62"
115 lbsWeight115 lbs
The Goat Shed Academy· 1666 avg Elo · 8 ratedTeamNova Uniao

What's at stake

Gillian Robertson is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +9 while a loss costs more — Luana Pinheiro carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Gillian RobertsonNow 1695
If they win+9→ 1704
If they lose-15→ 1680
Luana PinheiroNow 1606
If they win+20→ 1626
If they lose-12→ 1594

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1656 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1579 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.71
Sig. strikes / min
3.42
48%
Strike accuracy
40%
2.86
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.03
56%
Strike defense
62%
2.76
Takedown avg.
1.80
41%
Takedown accuracy
33%
39%
Takedown defense
69%
0.87
Submission avg.
0.20

Trajectory

Gillian RobertsonLuana Pinheiro
160016501700202420252026

Win method breakdown

3 (18%)
KO/TKO
2 (20%)
9 (53%)
Submission
5 (50%)
5 (29%)
Decision
3 (30%)

Combat Edge model read

Gillian Robertson92%
Luana Pinheiro 8%Elo baseline: 63%

The Combat Edge model makes Gillian Robertson a 92% favorite over Luana Pinheiro in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (63%).

Gillian Robertson holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1695 to 1606, a 89-point edge.

Luana Pinheiro enters on a 4-fight loss streak.

Gillian Robertson finishes 71% of wins inside the distance, Luana Pinheiro 70%.

Gillian Robertson and Luana Pinheiro share 1 common opponent: Michelle Waterson-Gomez.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.

Common opponents (1)

WinDecision - Unanimous · 2024
Michelle Waterson-Gomez
WinDecision - Split · 2023