Gina Carano vs Gisele Moreira
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
7-2-0Record13-6-0
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'8"Height5'6"
66"ReachTBD
143 lbsWeight145 lbs
Xtreme CoutureTeamChute Boxe Floripa
What's at stake
Gisele Moreira is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +15 while a loss costs more — Gina Carano carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+26→ 1622
If they lose-22→ 1574
If they win+15→ 1642
If they lose-17→ 1610
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1574 · 8 fightsPre-fight Elo1525 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Gina CaranoGisele Moreira
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Gina Carano60%
Gisele Moreira 40%Elo baseline: 46%
The Combat Edge model makes Gina Carano a 60% favorite over Gisele Moreira in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Gisele Moreira's way (46%).
Gisele Moreira holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1627 to 1596, a 31-point edge.
Gina Carano enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Gina Carano finishes 57% of wins inside the distance, Gisele Moreira 54%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.