Giuseppe Mastrogiacomo vs Hyder Amil
Records, Elo, stats and the Combat Edge model read, side by side.
Combat Edge model read
Hyder Amil62%
Giuseppe Mastrogiacomo 38%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Hyder Amil a 62% favorite over Giuseppe Mastrogiacomo in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Giuseppe Mastrogiacomo's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1680 vs 1680), separated by just 0 points.
Giuseppe Mastrogiacomo enters on a 4-fight win streak.
Hyder Amil enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Giuseppe Mastrogiacomo finishes 70% of wins inside the distance, Hyder Amil 64%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.
Tale of the tape
10-1-0Record11-3-0
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'9"Height5'8"
-Reach70"
146 lbsWeight145 lbs
Aurora MMA· 1562 avg Elo · 15 ratedTeamEl Nino Training Center
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1696
If they lose-16→ 1664
If they win+16→ 1696
If they lose-16→ 1664
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1540 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1628 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Giuseppe MastrogiacomoHyder Amil