Combat Edge Intelligence

Gleison Tibau vs Jim Miller

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Jim Miller
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Jim Miller

“A-10”

39-19-0LightweightUFC

1720Good

Tale of the tape

38-19-0Record39-19-0
WelterweightDivisionLightweight
5'10"Height5'8"
71,0"Reach71"
170 lbsWeight155 lbs
American Top TeamTeamSussex County MMA

What's at stake

Jim Miller is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +10 while a loss costs more — Gleison Tibau carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Gleison TibauNow 1675
If they win+14→ 1689
If they lose-10→ 1665
Jim MillerNow 1720
If they win+10→ 1730
If they lose-14→ 1706

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1622 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1679 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

1.95
Sig. strikes / min
2.92
32%
Strike accuracy
42%
2.51
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.44
63%
Strike defense
57%
4.08
Takedown avg.
1.50
54%
Takedown accuracy
45%
92%
Takedown defense
49%
0.83
Submission avg.
1.70

Trajectory

Gleison TibauJim Miller
16501700175020222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

4 (11%)
KO/TKO
7 (18%)
15 (39%)
Submission
22 (56%)
19 (50%)
Decision
10 (26%)

Combat Edge model read

Jim Miller73%
Gleison Tibau 27%Elo baseline: 56%

The Combat Edge model makes Jim Miller a 73% favorite over Gleison Tibau in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (56%).

Jim Miller holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1720 to 1675, a 45-point edge.

Gleison Tibau finishes 50% of wins inside the distance, Jim Miller 74%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.