Combat Edge Intelligence

Glover Teixeira vs Jared Cannonier

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

33-9-0Record18-9-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'2"Height6'0"
76"Reach 77"
205 lbsWeight185 lbs
Teixeira MMA & FitnessTeamMMA Lab

What's at stake

Glover Teixeira is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +9 while a loss costs more — Jared Cannonier carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Glover TeixeiraNow 1811
If they win+9→ 1820
If they lose-15→ 1796
Jared CannonierNow 1707
If they win+21→ 1728
If they lose-11→ 1696

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1720 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1758 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.73
Sig. strikes / min
4.42
50%
Strike accuracy
50%
4.43
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.35
51%
Strike defense
56%
2.11
Takedown avg.
0.54
34%
Takedown accuracy
4%
60%
Takedown defense
65%
0.94
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Glover TeixeiraJared Cannonier
170017501800185020212022202320242025

Win method breakdown

18 (55%)
KO/TKO
11 (61%)
10 (30%)
Submission
2 (11%)
5 (15%)
Decision
5 (28%)

Combat Edge model read

The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Glover Teixeira and Jared Cannonier within a point of even.

Glover Teixeira holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1811 to 1707, a 104-point edge.

Glover Teixeira enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Glover Teixeira finishes 85% of wins inside the distance, Jared Cannonier 72%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.