Combat Edge Intelligence

Glover Teixeira vs Muslim Magomedov

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

33-9-0Record17-0-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'2"Height6'0"
76"Reach72"
205 lbsWeight206 lbs
Teixeira MMA & Fitness· 1664 avg Elo · 5 ratedTeamAcademy MMA

What's at stake

Glover Teixeira is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Muslim Magomedov carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Glover TeixeiraNow 1811
If they win+11→ 1822
If they lose-13→ 1798
Muslim MagomedovNow 1781
If they win+17→ 1798
If they lose-15→ 1766

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1720 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1559 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.73
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
50%
Strike accuracy
TBD
4.43
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
51%
Strike defense
TBD
2.11
Takedown avg.
TBD
34%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
60%
Takedown defense
TBD
0.94
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Glover TeixeiraMuslim Magomedov
175018001850202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

18 (55%)
KO/TKO
7 (41%)
10 (30%)
Submission
2 (12%)
5 (15%)
Decision
8 (47%)

Combat Edge model read

Muslim Magomedov73%
Glover Teixeira 27%Elo baseline: 46%

The Combat Edge model makes Muslim Magomedov a 73% favorite over Glover Teixeira in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Glover Teixeira's way (46%).

Glover Teixeira holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1811 to 1781, a 30-point edge.

Glover Teixeira enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Muslim Magomedov enters on a 10-fight win streak.

Glover Teixeira finishes 85% of wins inside the distance, Muslim Magomedov 53%.

Glover Teixeira carries a 4-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.