
Goga Shamatava vs Tomáš Deák
Records, Elo, stats and the Combat Edge model read, side by side.


Combat Edge model read
The Combat Edge model makes Tomáš Deák a 55% favorite over Goga Shamatava in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Goga Shamatava's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1589 vs 1589), separated by just 0 points.
Goga Shamatava enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Goga Shamatava finishes 71% of wins inside the distance, Tomáš Deák 68%.
Goga Shamatava and Tomáš Deák share 4 common opponents: Rasul Albaskhanov, Osimkhon Rakhmonov, Oleg Borisov and Ryskulbek Ibraimov.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.
Tale of the tape
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.