Combat Edge Intelligence

Gokhan Saricam vs Kevin Szaflarski

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

12-2-0Record11-2-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'3"Height6'5"
76"ReachTBD
246 lbsWeight260 lbs
MMA Vlaardingen· 1681 avg Elo · 3 ratedTeamRenzo Gracie Jiu Jitsu

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Gokhan SaricamNow 1661
If they win+16→ 1677
If they lose-16→ 1645
Kevin SzaflarskiNow 1662
If they win+16→ 1678
If they lose-16→ 1646

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1539 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1492 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

0
Sig. strikes / min
1.13
TBD
Strike accuracy
28%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
8.07
TBD
Strike defense
30%
TBD
Takedown avg.
0
TBD
Takedown accuracy
0%
TBD
Takedown defense
0%
TBD
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Gokhan SaricamKevin Szaflarski
16001650170020222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

8 (67%)
KO/TKO
5 (45%)
1 (8%)
Submission
4 (36%)
3 (25%)
Decision
2 (18%)

Combat Edge model read

Gokhan Saricam57%
Kevin Szaflarski 43%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Gokhan Saricam a 57% favorite over Kevin Szaflarski in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Kevin Szaflarski's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1661 vs 1662), separated by just 1 points.

Gokhan Saricam enters on a 4-fight win streak.

Gokhan Saricam finishes 75% of wins inside the distance, Kevin Szaflarski 82%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.