Combat Edge Intelligence

Gokhan Saricam vs Rodrigo Nascimento

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

12-2-0Record11-3-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'3"Height6'4"
76"Reach80"
246 lbsWeight265 lbs
MMA VlaardingenTeamAmerican Top Team

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Gokhan SaricamNow 1663
If they win+16→ 1679
If they lose-16→ 1647
Rodrigo NascimentoNow 1666
If they win+16→ 1682
If they lose-16→ 1650

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1543 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1653 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

0
Sig. strikes / min
3.71
TBD
Strike accuracy
47%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.34
TBD
Strike defense
45%
TBD
Takedown avg.
1.02
TBD
Takedown accuracy
38%
TBD
Takedown defense
61%
TBD
Submission avg.
0.51

Trajectory

Gokhan SaricamRodrigo Nascimento
1600165017002023202420252026

Win method breakdown

8 (67%)
KO/TKO
2 (18%)
1 (8%)
Submission
6 (55%)
3 (25%)
Decision
3 (27%)

Combat Edge model read

Gokhan Saricam56%
Rodrigo Nascimento 44%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Gokhan Saricam a 56% favorite over Rodrigo Nascimento in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Rodrigo Nascimento's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1663 vs 1666), separated by just 3 points.

Gokhan Saricam enters on a 4-fight win streak.

Gokhan Saricam finishes 75% of wins inside the distance, Rodrigo Nascimento 73%.

Gokhan Saricam and Rodrigo Nascimento share 1 common opponent: Tanner Boser.

Rodrigo Nascimento carries a 4-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.

Common opponents (1)

WinTKO · 2026
Tanner Boser
WinDecision (split) · 2022