Grant Dawson vs Ricky Glenn
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
24-3-1Record22-8-2
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'10"Height6'0"
72"Reach70.5"
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
American Top TeamTeamTeam Alpha Male· 1645 avg Elo · 21 rated
What's at stake
Grant Dawson is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +7 while a loss costs more — Ricky Glenn carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+7→ 1809
If they lose-17→ 1785
If they win+17→ 1663
If they lose-7→ 1639
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1723 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1670 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Grant DawsonRicky Glenn
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Grant Dawson92%
Ricky Glenn 8%Elo baseline: 71%
The Combat Edge model makes Grant Dawson a 92% favorite over Ricky Glenn in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (71%).
Grant Dawson holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1802 to 1646, a 156-point edge.
Ricky Glenn enters on a 4-fight loss streak.
Grant Dawson finishes 79% of wins inside the distance, Ricky Glenn 73%.
Grant Dawson carries a 2-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.