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Combat Edge Intelligence

Gray Maynard vs Rob Emerson

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →
Gray Maynard
us

Gray Maynard

“The Bully”

13-7-1FeatherweightUFC

1619Solid
Rob Emerson
us

Rob Emerson

“The Saint”

21-15-0BantamweightGP

1476Average

Tale of the tape

13-7-1Record21-15-0
FeatherweightDivisionBantamweight
5'8"Height5'8"
70,0"ReachTBD
145 lbsWeight135 lbs
American Kickboxing Academy· 1638 avg Elo · 6 ratedTeamMMA Lab

What's at stake

Gray Maynard is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +10 while a loss costs more — Rob Emerson carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Gray MaynardNow 1619
If they win+10→ 1629
If they lose-22→ 1597
Rob EmersonNow 1476
If they win+22→ 1498
If they lose-10→ 1466

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1610 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1592 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

1.92
Sig. strikes / min
2.50
33%
Strike accuracy
31%
2.64
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.83
67%
Strike defense
65%
2.91
Takedown avg.
2.02
48%
Takedown accuracy
53%
81%
Takedown defense
66%
0.70
Submission avg.
0.40

Trajectory

Gray MaynardRob Emerson
150015501600165020172018

Win method breakdown

2 (15%)
KO/TKO
6 (29%)
0 (0%)
Submission
7 (33%)
11 (85%)
Decision
8 (38%)

Combat Edge model read

Gray Maynard58%
Rob Emerson 42%Elo baseline: 69%

The Combat Edge model makes Gray Maynard a 58% favorite over Rob Emerson in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (69%).

Gray Maynard holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1619 to 1476, a 143-point edge.

Gray Maynard finishes 15% of wins inside the distance, Rob Emerson 62%.

Gray Maynard and Rob Emerson share 1 common opponent: Nik Lentz.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.

Common opponents (1)

LossKO/TKO · 2018
Nik Lentz
LossDecision - Unanimous · 2010