THE ULTIMATE FIGHTER 5 FINALE : TEAM PULVER VS TEAM PENN

Gray Maynard vs Rob Emerson

Jun 23, 2007 · ESPN+

DateJun 23, 2007

DivisionLightweight

StatusScheduled

VenueThe Pearl

BroadcastESPN+

Start times & how to watch

Start time & how to watch

Main card starts Saturday, June 23, 2007 — watch on ESPN+.

US East (ET): Sat 4:00 PM
US West (PT): Sat 1:00 PM
United Kingdom: Sat 9:00 PM
Central Europe: Sat 10:00 PM
Australia (Sydney): Sun 6:00 AM
Your time

Gray MaynardThe Bully |13-7-1Gray Maynard vs Rob EmersonRob EmersonThe Saint |21-15-0

Gray MaynardThe Bully13-7-1

Fight Overview

RoundTBD

Time00:00:39

13-7-1Record21-15-0

47Age45

5'8"Height5'8"

70,0"ReachTBD

145 lbsWeight135 lbs

LightweightWeight ClassLightweight

Rob EmersonThe Saint21-15-0

Combat Edge Intelligence

Fight Intelligence

Gray Maynard owns a 143-point Elo edge (solid). Gray Maynard shows more surface-level statistical edges across the tracked UFC categories. There are no clean shared-opponent matches in tracked pro MMA history.

Compare Gray Maynard and Rob Emerson across their careers →

Elo Recent career Elo trajectory

Recent three-year Elo paths for both fighters. Ratings shown here are current career context; the event-specific prediction or verified result remains on this Fight page.

Gray MaynardRob Emerson

Recent form

Gray MaynardL W L W W · +3 Elo last 5

LWLWW

Rob EmersonL W L L L · -21 Elo last 5

LWLLL

Elo edge

Gray Maynard1619-18 last move

Rob Emerson1476-9 last move

Why they are ranked here

Gray MaynardNot on the active ladder · 1619 Elo

Biggest gain: Beat Teruto Ishihara (rated 1612 at the time): +16.
Costliest loss: Lost to TJ Grant (rated 1629 at the time): -24.
Last 5 fights: 3 wins, 2 losses, +3 Elo in total.
Inactivity: Placed on 1529, not 1619: 90 points are held back after more than 18 months without a fight, until the next one.

Rob EmersonNot on the active ladder · 1476 Elo

Biggest gain: Beat Rafael dos Anjos (rated 1523 at the time): +28.
Costliest loss: Lost to Manny Gamburyan (rated 1545 at the time): -27.
Last 5 fights: 1 win, 4 losses, -21 Elo in total.
Inactivity: Placed on 1386, not 1476: 90 points are held back after more than 18 months without a fight, until the next one.

Every rated fight moves a rating by an amount set by the opponent's rating at the time, the result and how it ended. Places are counted among fighters active in the last 24 months. How the rating is calculated

Fight intelligence

Model forecast and your pick

Inspect the model’s probability and Elo baseline, then make your own call before the card starts.

What's at stake

Gray MaynardNow 1619

Wins by decision+10→ 1629

Loses by decision-22→ 1597

Rob EmersonNow 1476

Wins by decision+22→ 1498

Loses by decision-10→ 1466

What-if simulatorPremium

Pick the winner and how the fight ends to see both new ratings, both new division ranks, and who each fighter would pass.

The simulator is part of Combat Edge Premium, with zero ads, 30 Ask Stats questions a month and CSV exports.

Go Premium to run it

Projected with the same rules as the rankings, at today's ratings. Split decisions move ratings less and finishes more.

Stat advantages

Gray MaynardvsRob Emerson

Takedown average

2.91vs2.02

Submission average

0.70vs0.40

Sig. strikes landed per min

1.92vs2.50

Takedown defense

81%vs66%

Finishing profile

Gray Maynarddecision leads 85% of wins

Rob Emersondecision leads 38% of wins

Common opponents

No clean shared-opponent match found in tracked pro MMA history.

Tale of the tape

Gray MaynardRob Emerson

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

1.92Sig. strikes landed per min2.50

UFC featherweight average : 3.93

33Sig. strike accuracy31

UFC featherweight average : 46%

2.64Sig. strikes absorbed per min2.83

UFC featherweight average : 3.88

67Sig. strike defense65

UFC featherweight average : 54%

2.91Takedown average2.02

UFC featherweight average : 1.57

48Takedown accuracy53

UFC featherweight average : 29%

81Takedown defense66

UFC featherweight average : 55%

0.70Submission average0.40

UFC featherweight average : 0.65

2Wins by knockout6

0Wins by submission7

11Wins by decision8

5Losses by knockout0

0Losses by submission3

2Losses by decision12

Gray Maynard vs Rob Emerson is a scheduled Lightweight fight on THE ULTIMATE FIGHTER 5 FINALE : TEAM PULVER VS TEAM PENN. Gray Maynard enters with a 13-7-1 record and Rob Emerson enters with a 21-15-0 record. Combat Edge tracks the matchup preview, UFC stats, Elo edge, shared opponents, event date, venue, and full fight card.