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Combat Edge Intelligence

Greg Foster vs Jason Asher

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Official bout pages

New comparison

This page compares both fighters across their careers. Event-specific previews, results, round stats, and bout facts live on the separate official Fight page for each meeting.

Greg Foster
us

Greg Foster

“Punch First”

8-1-0LightweightMTF

1627Solid
Jason Asher
us

Jason Asher

“All Smoke”

5-0-0FeatherweightFFC

1626Solid

Tale of the tape

8-1-0Record5-0-0
LightweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'11"Height6'1"
-Reach-
156 lbsWeight146 lbs
MMA LabTeamMid City MMA

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Greg FosterNow 1627
If they win+24→ 1651
If they lose-24→ 1603
Jason AsherNow 1626
If they win+24→ 1650
If they lose-24→ 1602

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1474 · 9 fightsPre-fight Elo1509 · 5 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

Not available
Sig. strikes / min
Not available
Not available
Strike accuracy
Not available
Not available
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
Not available
Not available
Strike defense
Not available
Not available
Takedown avg.
Not available
Not available
Takedown accuracy
Not available
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Takedown defense
Not available
Not available
Submission avg.
Not available

Trajectory

Greg FosterJason Asher
15501600202420252026

Win method breakdown

2 (25%)
KO/TKO
5 (100%)
3 (38%)
Submission
0 (0%)
3 (38%)
Decision
0 (0%)

Combat Edge model read

Jason Asher58%
Greg Foster 42%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Jason Asher a 58% favorite over Greg Foster in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Greg Foster's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1627 vs 1626), separated by just 1 points.

Greg Foster enters on a 3-fight win streak.

Jason Asher enters on a 5-fight win streak.

Greg Foster finishes 63% of wins inside the distance, Jason Asher 100%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.