Greg Rebello vs Mario Piazzon
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
26-9-0Record12-1-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'0"Height5'11"
40,0"Reach73"
248 lbsWeight265 lbs
Team SityodtongTeamGalpao da Luta· 1695 avg Elo · 5 rated
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1668
If they lose-12→ 1644
If they win+16→ 1679
If they lose-16→ 1647
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1518 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1501 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Greg RebelloMario Piazzon
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Mario Piazzon70%
Greg Rebello 30%Elo baseline: 51%
The Combat Edge model makes Mario Piazzon a 70% favorite over Greg Rebello in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1656 vs 1663), separated by just 7 points.
Greg Rebello enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Mario Piazzon enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Greg Rebello finishes 73% of wins inside the distance, Mario Piazzon 82%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.