Combat Edge Intelligence

Gregory Rodrigues vs Joe Pyfer

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Joe Pyfer
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Joe Pyfer

“Bodybagz”

16-3-0MiddleweightUFC

1763Great

Tale of the tape

20-6-0Record16-3-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'3"Height6'1"
75"Reach75"
185 lbsWeight185 lbs
Kill Cliff FCTeamTeam Balance

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Gregory RodriguesNow 1777
If they win+12→ 1789
If they lose-12→ 1765
Joe PyferNow 1763
If they win+17→ 1780
If they lose-15→ 1748

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1709 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1674 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

5.53
Sig. strikes / min
3.47
52%
Strike accuracy
43%
4.78
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.05
51%
Strike defense
54%
1.90
Takedown avg.
1.23
16%
Takedown accuracy
33%
75%
Takedown defense
50%
0.38
Submission avg.
1.02

Trajectory

Gregory RodriguesJoe Pyfer
17001750202420252026

Win method breakdown

12 (60%)
KO/TKO
10 (63%)
3 (15%)
Submission
4 (25%)
5 (25%)
Decision
2 (13%)

Combat Edge model read

Gregory Rodrigues56%
Joe Pyfer 44%Elo baseline: 52%

The Combat Edge model makes Gregory Rodrigues a 56% favorite over Joe Pyfer in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (52%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1777 vs 1763), separated by just 14 points.

Gregory Rodrigues enters on a 4-fight win streak.

Joe Pyfer enters on a 5-fight win streak.

Gregory Rodrigues finishes 75% of wins inside the distance, Joe Pyfer 88%.

Gregory Rodrigues and Joe Pyfer share 1 common opponent: Jack Hermansson.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.

Common opponents (1)

WinKO · 2025
Jack Hermansson
LossDecision - Unanimous · 2024