Gregory Rodrigues vs Julian Marquez
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
19-6-0Record9-6-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'3"Height6'2"
75"Reach72"
185 lbsWeight185 lbs
Kill Cliff FCTeamFactory X
What's at stake
Gregory Rodrigues is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +6 while a loss costs more — Julian Marquez carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+6→ 1771
If they lose-18→ 1747
If they win+24→ 1600
If they lose-8→ 1568
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1701 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1617 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Gregory RodriguesJulian Marquez
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Gregory Rodrigues92%
Julian Marquez 8%Elo baseline: 75%
The Combat Edge model makes Gregory Rodrigues a 92% favorite over Julian Marquez in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (75%).
Gregory Rodrigues holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1765 to 1576, a 189-point edge.
Gregory Rodrigues enters on a 3-fight win streak.
Julian Marquez enters on a 4-fight loss streak.
Gregory Rodrigues finishes 79% of wins inside the distance, Julian Marquez 100%.
Gregory Rodrigues carries a 3-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.