Combat Edge Intelligence

Gregory Rodrigues vs Krzysztof Jotko

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

19-6-0Record30-6-0
MiddleweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'3"Height6'1"
75"Reach77"
185 lbsWeight205 lbs
Kill Cliff FCTeamAmerican Top Team

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Gregory RodriguesNow 1765
If they win+12→ 1777
If they lose-12→ 1753
Krzysztof JotkoNow 1769
If they win+12→ 1781
If they lose-12→ 1757

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1701 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1663 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

5.53
Sig. strikes / min
2.98
52%
Strike accuracy
43%
4.78
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.23
51%
Strike defense
57%
1.90
Takedown avg.
1.33
16%
Takedown accuracy
19%
75%
Takedown defense
82%
0.38
Submission avg.
0.07

Trajectory

Gregory RodriguesKrzysztof Jotko
17001750202420252026

Win method breakdown

12 (63%)
KO/TKO
8 (27%)
3 (16%)
Submission
2 (7%)
4 (21%)
Decision
20 (67%)

Combat Edge model read

Krzysztof Jotko63%
Gregory Rodrigues 37%Elo baseline: 51%

The Combat Edge model makes Krzysztof Jotko a 63% favorite over Gregory Rodrigues in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1765 vs 1769), separated by just 4 points.

Gregory Rodrigues enters on a 3-fight win streak.

Krzysztof Jotko enters on a 6-fight win streak.

Gregory Rodrigues finishes 79% of wins inside the distance, Krzysztof Jotko 33%.

Krzysztof Jotko carries a 2-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.