Guido Cannetti vs Marlon Vera
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
10-8-0Record23-12-1
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'6"Height5'8"
68"Reach 70"
135 lbsWeight135 lbs
Our Town MMATeamTeam Oyama· 1645 avg Elo · 6 rated
What's at stake
Marlon Vera is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +6 while a loss costs more — Guido Cannetti carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+24→ 1541
If they lose-8→ 1509
If they win+6→ 1716
If they lose-18→ 1692
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1608 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1749 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Guido CannettiMarlon Vera
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Marlon Vera94%
Guido Cannetti 6%Elo baseline: 75%
The Combat Edge model makes Marlon Vera a 94% favorite over Guido Cannetti in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (75%).
Marlon Vera holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1710 to 1517, a 193-point edge.
Guido Cannetti enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Marlon Vera enters on a 4-fight loss streak.
Guido Cannetti finishes 80% of wins inside the distance, Marlon Vera 78%.
Marlon Vera carries a 2-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.