Guilherme Pat vs Maurice Greene
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
6-2-0Record11-9-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'5"Height6'7"
80"ReachTBD
265 lbsWeight262 lbs
Lotus ClubTeamJackson-Wink MMA
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+24→ 1618
If they lose-24→ 1570
If they win+16→ 1611
If they lose-16→ 1579
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1538 · 8 fightsPre-fight Elo1640 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Guilherme PatMaurice Greene
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Guilherme Pat62%
Maurice Greene 38%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Guilherme Pat a 62% favorite over Maurice Greene in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Maurice Greene's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1594 vs 1595), separated by just 1 points.
Guilherme Pat enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Maurice Greene enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Guilherme Pat finishes 67% of wins inside the distance, Maurice Greene 82%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.