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Combat Edge Intelligence

Guilherme Pat vs Roy Boughton

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Roy Boughton
us

Roy Boughton

“Black Dynamite”

14-8-0HeavyweightBFC

1595Solid

Tale of the tape

6-2-0Record14-8-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'5"Height6'0"
80"ReachTBD
265 lbsWeight253 lbs

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Guilherme PatNow 1595
If they win+24→ 1619
If they lose-24→ 1571
Roy BoughtonNow 1595
If they win+16→ 1611
If they lose-16→ 1579

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1539 · 8 fightsPre-fight Elo1563 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

2.70
Sig. strikes / min
2.83
62%
Strike accuracy
60%
2.03
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.54
52%
Strike defense
52%
0
Takedown avg.
0
Not available
Takedown accuracy
0%
100%
Takedown defense
27%
0
Submission avg.
3.24

Trajectory

Guilherme PatRoy Boughton
160016502014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

4 (67%)
KO/TKO
4 (29%)
0 (0%)
Submission
8 (57%)
2 (33%)
Decision
2 (14%)

Combat Edge model read

Roy Boughton53%
Guilherme Pat 47%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Roy Boughton a 53% favorite over Guilherme Pat in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Guilherme Pat's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1595 vs 1595), separated by just 0 points.

Guilherme Pat enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Guilherme Pat finishes 67% of wins inside the distance, Roy Boughton 86%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.