Guilherme Pat vs Shelton Graves
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
6-2-0Record11-7-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'5"Height6'2"
80"Reach40,0"
265 lbsWeight265 lbs
Lotus ClubTeamTop Flight MMA
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+24→ 1618
If they lose-24→ 1570
If they win+16→ 1608
If they lose-16→ 1576
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1538 · 8 fightsPre-fight Elo1560 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Guilherme PatShelton Graves
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Guilherme Pat58%
Shelton Graves 42%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Guilherme Pat a 58% favorite over Shelton Graves in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1594 vs 1592), separated by just 2 points.
Guilherme Pat enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Guilherme Pat finishes 67% of wins inside the distance, Shelton Graves 64%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.