Combat Edge Intelligence

Guilherme Pat vs Wade Shipp

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Wade Shipp
us

Wade Shipp

“Nightmare”

12-5-0HeavyweightXFS

1589Solid

Tale of the tape

6-2-0Record12-5-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'5"Height6'3"
80"ReachTBD
265 lbsWeight240 lbs
Lotus ClubTeamAlliance MMA· 1633 avg Elo · 5 rated

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Guilherme PatNow 1594
If they win+24→ 1618
If they lose-24→ 1570
Wade ShippNow 1589
If they win+16→ 1605
If they lose-16→ 1573

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1538 · 8 fightsPre-fight Elo1496 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.70
Sig. strikes / min
4.29
62%
Strike accuracy
87%
2.03
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.14
52%
Strike defense
75%
0
Takedown avg.
0
TBD
Takedown accuracy
TBD
100%
Takedown defense
0%
0
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Guilherme PatWade Shipp
160016502014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

4 (67%)
KO/TKO
6 (50%)
0 (0%)
Submission
6 (50%)
2 (33%)
Decision
0 (0%)

Combat Edge model read

Guilherme Pat60%
Wade Shipp 40%Elo baseline: 51%

The Combat Edge model makes Guilherme Pat a 60% favorite over Wade Shipp in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1594 vs 1589), separated by just 5 points.

Guilherme Pat enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Guilherme Pat finishes 67% of wins inside the distance, Wade Shipp 100%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.