Guilherme Uriel vs Jamal Pogues
Records, Elo, stats and the Combat Edge model read, side by side.
Combat Edge model read
Guilherme Uriel53%
Jamal Pogues 47%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Guilherme Uriel a 53% favorite over Jamal Pogues in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1634 vs 1632), separated by just 2 points.
Guilherme Uriel enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Guilherme Uriel finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Jamal Pogues 45%.
Jamal Pogues carries a 3-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.
Tale of the tape
8-2-0Record11-5-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'1"Height6'2"
74"Reach77"
233 lbsWeight266 lbs
Evolution Combat MMATeamSyndicate MMA
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1650
If they lose-16→ 1618
If they win+16→ 1648
If they lose-16→ 1616
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1523 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1593 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Guilherme UrielJamal Pogues