Combat Edge Intelligence

Guilherme Uriel vs Mario Piazzon

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

7-2-0Record12-1-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'1"Height5'11"
-Reach73"
233 lbsWeight265 lbs
Evolution Combat MMATeamGalpao da Luta· 1695 avg Elo · 5 rated

What's at stake

Mario Piazzon is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +13 while a loss costs more — Guilherme Uriel carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Guilherme UrielNow 1603
If they win+28→ 1631
If they lose-20→ 1583
Mario PiazzonNow 1663
If they win+13→ 1676
If they lose-19→ 1644

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1511 · 9 fightsPre-fight Elo1501 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
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Strike accuracy
TBD
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
TBD
Strike defense
TBD
TBD
Takedown avg.
TBD
TBD
Takedown accuracy
TBD
TBD
Takedown defense
TBD
TBD
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Guilherme UrielMario Piazzon
1550160016501700202420252026

Win method breakdown

4 (57%)
KO/TKO
8 (73%)
3 (43%)
Submission
1 (9%)
0 (0%)
Decision
2 (18%)

Combat Edge model read

Mario Piazzon60%
Guilherme Uriel 40%Elo baseline: 59%

The Combat Edge model makes Mario Piazzon a 60% favorite over Guilherme Uriel in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (59%).

Mario Piazzon holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1663 to 1603, a 60-point edge.

Mario Piazzon enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Guilherme Uriel finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Mario Piazzon 82%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.