Gunnar Nelson vs Neil Magny
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
Compare any two fighters →
Tale of the tape
19-6-1Record32-14-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
5'11"Height6'3"
72"Reach80"
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
MjolnirTeamElevation Fight Team
What's at stake
Neil Magny is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +10 while a loss costs more — Gunnar Nelson carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+19→ 1729
If they lose-13→ 1697
If they win+10→ 1778
If they lose-14→ 1754
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1716 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1734 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Gunnar NelsonNeil Magny
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Neil Magny79%
Gunnar Nelson 21%Elo baseline: 58%
The Combat Edge model makes Neil Magny a 79% favorite over Gunnar Nelson in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (58%).
Neil Magny holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1768 to 1710, a 58-point edge.
Gunnar Nelson finishes 89% of wins inside the distance, Neil Magny 47%.
Gunnar Nelson and Neil Magny share 1 common opponent: Gilbert Burns.
Neil Magny carries a 8-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.