Combat Edge Intelligence

Guram Kutateladze vs Kauê Fernandes

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

13-5-0Record11-2-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'11"Height6'0"
72"Reach73"
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
Allstars Training CenterTeamNova Uniao

What's at stake

Kauê Fernandes is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +15 while a loss costs more — Guram Kutateladze carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Guram KutateladzeNow 1647
If they win+17→ 1664
If they lose-15→ 1632
Kauê FernandesNow 1678
If they win+15→ 1693
If they lose-17→ 1661

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1607 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1558 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.95
Sig. strikes / min
0.41
46%
Strike accuracy
50%
3.95
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
5.70
57%
Strike defense
29%
0.77
Takedown avg.
0
20%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
79%
Takedown defense
0%
0
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Guram KutateladzeKauê Fernandes
1650202320242025

Win method breakdown

7 (54%)
KO/TKO
6 (55%)
1 (8%)
Submission
2 (18%)
5 (38%)
Decision
3 (27%)

Combat Edge model read

Kauê Fernandes70%
Guram Kutateladze 30%Elo baseline: 54%

The Combat Edge model makes Kauê Fernandes a 70% favorite over Guram Kutateladze in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (54%).

Kauê Fernandes holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1678 to 1647, a 31-point edge.

Kauê Fernandes enters on a 3-fight win streak.

Guram Kutateladze finishes 62% of wins inside the distance, Kauê Fernandes 73%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.