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Combat Edge Intelligence

Guram Mestvirishvili vs Marcio Cabral

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

2-3-0Record13-4-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
TBDHeight6'1"
-Reach-
185 lbsWeight185 lbs
Teixeira MMA & Fitness· 1628 avg Elo · 7 ratedTeamBonfim Brothers· 1594 avg Elo · 4 rated

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Guram MestvirishviliNow 1501
If they win+24→ 1525
If they lose-24→ 1477
Marcio CabralNow 1498
If they win+24→ 1522
If they lose-24→ 1474

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1513 · 6 fightsPre-fight Elo1525 · 7 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

Not available
Sig. strikes / min
Not available
Not available
Strike accuracy
Not available
Not available
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
Not available
Not available
Strike defense
Not available
Not available
Takedown avg.
Not available
Not available
Takedown accuracy
Not available
Not available
Takedown defense
Not available
Not available
Submission avg.
Not available

Trajectory

Guram MestvirishviliMarcio Cabral
1450150020252026

Win method breakdown

1 (50%)
KO/TKO
9 (69%)
0 (0%)
Submission
0 (0%)
1 (50%)
Decision
4 (31%)

Combat Edge model read

The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Guram Mestvirishvili and Marcio Cabral within a point of even.

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1501 vs 1498), separated by just 3 points.

Marcio Cabral 69%.

Guram Mestvirishvili and Marcio Cabral share 1 common opponent: Jansey Silva.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.

Common opponents (1)

LossDecision (Unanimous) · 2026
Jansey Silva
LossDecision (Unanimous) · 2022