Combat Edge Intelligence

Gustavo Lopez vs Luis Gurule

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

16-8-1Record11-4-0
FeatherweightDivisionFlyweight
5'5"Height5'5"
67"Reach64"
145 lbsWeight126 lbs
Xtreme CoutureTeamFactory X

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Gustavo LopezNow 1641
If they win+12→ 1653
If they lose-12→ 1629
Luis GuruleNow 1642
If they win+16→ 1658
If they lose-16→ 1626

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1542 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1585 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
5.70
TBD
Strike accuracy
44%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
5.37
TBD
Strike defense
58%
TBD
Takedown avg.
0.67
TBD
Takedown accuracy
16%
TBD
Takedown defense
59%
TBD
Submission avg.
0.22

Trajectory

Gustavo LopezLuis Gurule
1600165017002023202420252026

Win method breakdown

7 (44%)
KO/TKO
5 (45%)
8 (50%)
Submission
1 (9%)
1 (6%)
Decision
5 (45%)

Combat Edge model read

Luis Gurule60%
Gustavo Lopez 40%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Luis Gurule a 60% favorite over Gustavo Lopez in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1641 vs 1642), separated by just 1 points.

Gustavo Lopez enters on a 3-fight win streak.

Gustavo Lopez finishes 94% of wins inside the distance, Luis Gurule 55%.

Gustavo Lopez carries a 3-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.