Gustavo Oliveira vs Marcirley Alves
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
Compare any two fighters →
Tale of the tape
13-2-0Record15-5-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'8"Height5'4"
71"Reach66"
135 lbsWeight135 lbs
Fight LesteTeamChute Boxe Joao Emilio
What's at stake
Gustavo Oliveira is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +15 while a loss costs more — Marcirley Alves carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+15→ 1700
If they lose-17→ 1668
If they win+17→ 1686
If they lose-15→ 1654
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1541 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1611 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Gustavo OliveiraMarcirley Alves
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Gustavo Oliveira and Marcirley Alves within a point of even.
Gustavo Oliveira holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1685 to 1669, a 16-point edge.
Gustavo Oliveira enters on a 5-fight win streak.
Gustavo Oliveira finishes 92% of wins inside the distance, Marcirley Alves 67%.
Gustavo Oliveira carries a 5-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.