Gustavo Oliveira vs Michael McDonald
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
13-2-0Record19-4-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'8"Height5'8"
71"Reach70,0"
135 lbsWeight136 lbs
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1705
If they lose-16→ 1673
If they win+12→ 1703
If they lose-12→ 1679
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1550 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1615 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Gustavo OliveiraMichael McDonald
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Michael McDonald59%
Gustavo Oliveira 41%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Michael McDonald a 59% favorite over Gustavo Oliveira in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1689 vs 1691), separated by just 2 points.
Gustavo Oliveira enters on a 5-fight win streak.
Michael McDonald enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Gustavo Oliveira finishes 92% of wins inside the distance, Michael McDonald 84%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.