AdvertisementRemove ads — go Premium
Combat Edge Intelligence

Gustavo Rocha vs Hashem Arkhagha

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

6-3-0Record6-1-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'2"Height6'2"
-ReachTBD
186 lbsWeight185 lbs
Alcateia MMA· 1554 avg Elo · 3 ratedTeamK Dojo Warrior Tribe· 1646 avg Elo · 3 rated

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Gustavo RochaNow 1604
If they win+24→ 1628
If they lose-24→ 1580
Hashem ArkhaghaNow 1606
If they win+24→ 1630
If they lose-24→ 1582

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1517 · 8 fightsPre-fight Elo1519 · 7 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

Not available
Sig. strikes / min
1.84
Not available
Strike accuracy
44%
Not available
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
8.97
Not available
Strike defense
43%
Not available
Takedown avg.
0
Not available
Takedown accuracy
Not available
Not available
Takedown defense
50%
Not available
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Gustavo RochaHashem Arkhagha
1550160016502020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

3 (50%)
KO/TKO
4 (67%)
2 (33%)
Submission
2 (33%)
1 (17%)
Decision
0 (0%)

Combat Edge model read

Gustavo Rocha56%
Hashem Arkhagha 44%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Gustavo Rocha a 56% favorite over Hashem Arkhagha in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Hashem Arkhagha's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1604 vs 1606), separated by just 2 points.

Gustavo Rocha finishes 83% of wins inside the distance, Hashem Arkhagha 100%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.