Combat Edge Intelligence

Guy Mezger vs Johnny Walker

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →
Guy Mezger
us

Guy Mezger

“The Sandman”

30-13-2Light HeavyweightLion's Den Texas

1639Solid

Tale of the tape

30-13-2Record22-10-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'1"Height6'5"
TBDReach82"
200 lbsWeight206 lbs
Lion's Den DallasTeamSBG Ireland

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Guy MezgerNow 1639
If they win+12→ 1651
If they lose-12→ 1627
Johnny WalkerNow 1641
If they win+12→ 1653
If they lose-12→ 1629

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1562 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1720 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
3.90
TBD
Strike accuracy
55%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.99
TBD
Strike defense
46%
TBD
Takedown avg.
0.36
TBD
Takedown accuracy
0%
TBD
Takedown defense
57%
TBD
Submission avg.
0.73

Trajectory

Guy MezgerJohnny Walker
165020012002200320042005200620072008200920102011201220132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

11 (37%)
KO/TKO
17 (77%)
6 (20%)
Submission
3 (14%)
13 (43%)
Decision
2 (9%)

Combat Edge model read

Johnny Walker66%
Guy Mezger 34%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Johnny Walker a 66% favorite over Guy Mezger in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1639 vs 1641), separated by just 2 points.

Guy Mezger finishes 57% of wins inside the distance, Johnny Walker 91%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.