Combat Edge Intelligence

Haidy Ahmed vs Stephanie Frausto

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

3-2-0Record8-9-0
StrawweightDivisionStrawweight
5'3"Height5'2"
-ReachTBD
116 lbsWeight115 lbs
Tiger TeamTeamCombat Sports Academy

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Haidy AhmedNow 1493
If they win+24→ 1517
If they lose-24→ 1469
Stephanie FraustoNow 1492
If they win+16→ 1508
If they lose-16→ 1476

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1506 · 4 fightsPre-fight Elo1526 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
1.43
TBD
Strike accuracy
21%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.57
TBD
Strike defense
60%
TBD
Takedown avg.
0
TBD
Takedown accuracy
TBD
TBD
Takedown defense
0%
TBD
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Haidy AhmedStephanie Frausto
150015502020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

1 (33%)
KO/TKO
4 (50%)
0 (0%)
Submission
3 (38%)
2 (67%)
Decision
1 (13%)

Combat Edge model read

Haidy Ahmed67%
Stephanie Frausto 33%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Haidy Ahmed a 67% favorite over Stephanie Frausto in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1493 vs 1492), separated by just 1 points.

Stephanie Frausto enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Haidy Ahmed finishes 33% of wins inside the distance, Stephanie Frausto 88%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.