Hailey Cowan vs Jenna Williams
Records, Elo, stats and the Combat Edge model read, side by side.
Combat Edge model read
Hailey Cowan64%
Jenna Williams 36%Elo baseline: 49%
The Combat Edge model makes Hailey Cowan a 64% favorite over Jenna Williams in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Jenna Williams's way (49%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1534 vs 1540), separated by just 6 points.
Hailey Cowan enters on a 4-fight loss streak.
Hailey Cowan finishes 57% of wins inside the distance, Jenna Williams 33%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.
Tale of the tape
7-6-0Record3-1-0
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'8"HeightTBD
67"Reach-
138 lbsWeight145 lbs
Blitz SportTeamMMA Lab
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1550
If they lose-16→ 1518
If they win+24→ 1564
If they lose-24→ 1516
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1555 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1487 · 4 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Hailey CowanJenna Williams