Combat Edge Intelligence

Hailey Cowan vs Jessamyn Duke

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Hailey Cowan
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Hailey Cowan

“All Hail”

7-6-0FeatherweightUFC

1533Average

Tale of the tape

7-6-0Record3-5-0
FeatherweightDivisionBantamweight
5'8"Height5'11"
67"Reach73,0"
138 lbsWeight136 lbs
Blitz SportTeamUWF USA

What's at stake

Hailey Cowan is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +13 while a loss costs more — Jessamyn Duke carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Hailey CowanNow 1533
If they win+13→ 1546
If they lose-19→ 1514
Jessamyn DukeNow 1462
If they win+29→ 1491
If they lose-19→ 1443

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1553 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1549 · 8 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.66
Sig. strikes / min
4.83
44%
Strike accuracy
53%
2.92
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.43
41%
Strike defense
57%
1.95
Takedown avg.
1.27
14%
Takedown accuracy
36%
80%
Takedown defense
50%
0
Submission avg.
1.90

Trajectory

Hailey CowanJessamyn Duke
14501500155016002014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

2 (29%)
KO/TKO
1 (33%)
2 (29%)
Submission
1 (33%)
3 (43%)
Decision
1 (33%)

Combat Edge model read

Hailey Cowan78%
Jessamyn Duke 22%Elo baseline: 60%

The Combat Edge model makes Hailey Cowan a 78% favorite over Jessamyn Duke in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (60%).

Hailey Cowan holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1533 to 1462, a 71-point edge.

Hailey Cowan enters on a 4-fight loss streak.

Jessamyn Duke enters on a 5-fight loss streak.

Hailey Cowan finishes 57% of wins inside the distance, Jessamyn Duke 67%.

Jessamyn Duke carries a 6-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.