Hailey Cowan vs Kelly McGill-Velasco
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
7-6-0Record2-2-0
FeatherweightDivisionBantamweight
5'8"Height5'9"
67"ReachTBD
138 lbsWeight136 lbs
What's at stake
Hailey Cowan is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +14 while a loss costs more — Kelly McGill-Velasco carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+14→ 1547
If they lose-18→ 1515
If they win+26→ 1526
If they lose-22→ 1478
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1553 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1525 · 4 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Hailey CowanKelly McGill-Velasco
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Hailey Cowan70%
Kelly McGill-Velasco 30%Elo baseline: 55%
The Combat Edge model makes Hailey Cowan a 70% favorite over Kelly McGill-Velasco in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (55%).
Hailey Cowan holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1533 to 1500, a 33-point edge.
Hailey Cowan enters on a 4-fight loss streak.
Kelly McGill-Velasco enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Hailey Cowan finishes 57% of wins inside the distance.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.