Hailey Cowan vs Tamires Vidal
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
7-5-0Record7-4-0
FeatherweightDivisionBantamweight
5'8"Height5'6"
67"Reach68"
138 lbsWeight135 lbs
Blitz SportTeamBenito Macapa Fight Team
What's at stake
Tamires Vidal is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +15 while a loss costs more — Hailey Cowan carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+17→ 1564
If they lose-15→ 1532
If they win+15→ 1577
If they lose-17→ 1545
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1538 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1549 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Hailey CowanTamires Vidal
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Hailey Cowan52%
Tamires Vidal 48%Elo baseline: 48%
The Combat Edge model makes Hailey Cowan a 52% favorite over Tamires Vidal in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Tamires Vidal's way (48%).
Tamires Vidal holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1562 to 1547, a 15-point edge.
Hailey Cowan enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Tamires Vidal enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Hailey Cowan finishes 57% of wins inside the distance, Tamires Vidal 50%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.