Hailey Cowan vs Vanessa Melo
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
7-6-0Record11-12-0
FeatherweightDivisionLightweight
5'8"Height5'5"
67"Reach65,0"
138 lbsWeight155 lbs
What's at stake
Hailey Cowan is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +14 while a loss costs more — Vanessa Melo carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+14→ 1547
If they lose-18→ 1515
If they win+18→ 1498
If they lose-14→ 1466
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1553 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1521 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Hailey CowanVanessa Melo
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Hailey Cowan73%
Vanessa Melo 27%Elo baseline: 58%
The Combat Edge model makes Hailey Cowan a 73% favorite over Vanessa Melo in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (58%).
Hailey Cowan holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1533 to 1480, a 53-point edge.
Hailey Cowan enters on a 4-fight loss streak.
Vanessa Melo enters on a 4-fight loss streak.
Hailey Cowan finishes 57% of wins inside the distance, Vanessa Melo 18%.
Hailey Cowan carries a 2-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.