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Combat Edge Intelligence

Hakeem Dawodu vs Movsar Evloev

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

14-4-1Record20-0-0
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'8"Height5'8"
73"Reach72"
145 lbsWeight145 lbs
Champion's Creed MMA· 1641 avg Elo · 3 ratedTeamAmerican Top Team

What's at stake

Movsar Evloev is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +9 while a loss costs more — Hakeem Dawodu carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Hakeem DawoduNow 1704
If they win+23→ 1727
If they lose-9→ 1695
Movsar EvloevNow 1861
If they win+9→ 1870
If they lose-23→ 1838

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1681 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1715 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

5.45
Sig. strikes / min
3.91
51%
Strike accuracy
48%
3.37
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.80
57%
Strike defense
61%
0
Takedown avg.
4.78
0%
Takedown accuracy
5%
65%
Takedown defense
61%
0
Submission avg.
0.19

Trajectory

Hakeem DawoduMovsar Evloev
1700175018001850202420252026

Win method breakdown

7 (50%)
KO/TKO
3 (15%)
0 (0%)
Submission
4 (20%)
7 (50%)
Decision
13 (65%)

Combat Edge model read

Movsar Evloev82%
Hakeem Dawodu 18%Elo baseline: 71%

The Combat Edge model makes Movsar Evloev a 82% favorite over Hakeem Dawodu in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (71%).

Movsar Evloev holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1861 to 1704, a 157-point edge.

Movsar Evloev enters on a 10-fight win streak.

Hakeem Dawodu finishes 50% of wins inside the distance, Movsar Evloev 35%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.