Hakeem Dawodu vs Movsar Evloev
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
13-4-1Record20-0-0
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'8"Height5'8"
73"Reach72"
145 lbsWeight145 lbs
Champion's Creed MMATeamAmerican Top Team
What's at stake
Movsar Evloev is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +9 while a loss costs more — Hakeem Dawodu carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+23→ 1714
If they lose-9→ 1682
If they win+9→ 1864
If they lose-23→ 1832
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1684 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1715 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Hakeem DawoduMovsar Evloev
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Movsar Evloev92%
Hakeem Dawodu 8%Elo baseline: 72%
The Combat Edge model makes Movsar Evloev a 92% favorite over Hakeem Dawodu in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (72%).
Movsar Evloev holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1855 to 1691, a 164-point edge.
Hakeem Dawodu enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Movsar Evloev enters on a 10-fight win streak.
Hakeem Dawodu finishes 54% of wins inside the distance, Movsar Evloev 35%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.