Harry Hardwick vs Marwan Rahiki
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
13-5-1Record9-0-0
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'10"Height5'10"
70"Reach72"
145 lbsWeight145 lbs
Middlesbrough Fight AcademyTeamLions Den Academy
What's at stake
Marwan Rahiki is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +18 while a loss costs more — Harry Hardwick carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+20→ 1640
If they lose-12→ 1608
If they win+18→ 1721
If they lose-30→ 1673
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1541 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1517 · 9 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Harry HardwickMarwan Rahiki
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Marwan Rahiki75%
Harry Hardwick 25%Elo baseline: 62%
The Combat Edge model makes Marwan Rahiki a 75% favorite over Harry Hardwick in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (62%).
Marwan Rahiki holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1703 to 1620, a 83-point edge.
Harry Hardwick enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Marwan Rahiki enters on a 9-fight win streak.
Harry Hardwick finishes 54% of wins inside the distance, Marwan Rahiki 100%.
Marwan Rahiki carries a 2-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.