Combat Edge Intelligence

Heather Clark vs Jessica Penne

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

8-6-0Record14-8-0
StrawweightDivisionStrawweight
5'6"Height5'5"
64,0"Reach67"
115 lbsWeight115 lbs
Syndicate MMATeamAlliance MMA

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Heather ClarkNow 1545
If they win+16→ 1561
If they lose-16→ 1529
Jessica PenneNow 1548
If they win+16→ 1564
If they lose-16→ 1532

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1543 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1594 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.69
Sig. strikes / min
2.63
49%
Strike accuracy
33%
5.62
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
5.05
51%
Strike defense
45%
0.33
Takedown avg.
1.29
4%
Takedown accuracy
19%
80%
Takedown defense
36%
0.33
Submission avg.
0.49

Trajectory

Heather ClarkJessica Penne
1550160020172018201920202021202220232024

Win method breakdown

2 (25%)
KO/TKO
2 (14%)
3 (38%)
Submission
8 (57%)
3 (38%)
Decision
4 (29%)

Combat Edge model read

The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Heather Clark and Jessica Penne within a point of even.

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1545 vs 1548), separated by just 3 points.

Jessica Penne enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Heather Clark finishes 63% of wins inside the distance, Jessica Penne 71%.

Heather Clark and Jessica Penne share 1 common opponent: Karolina Kowalkiewicz.

Jessica Penne carries a 3-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.

Common opponents (1)

Loss Decision · 2016
Karolina Kowalkiewicz
WinSubmission · 2021