Hecher Sosa vs Luan Lacerda
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
15-1-0Record13-4-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'9"Height5'7"
70"Reach71"
135 lbsWeight135 lbs
Animal Fight CenterTeamNova Uniao
What's at stake
Hecher Sosa is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +12 while a loss costs more — Luan Lacerda carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+12→ 1742
If they lose-20→ 1710
If they win+20→ 1672
If they lose-12→ 1640
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1529 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1563 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Hecher SosaLuan Lacerda
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Hecher Sosa72%
Luan Lacerda 28%Elo baseline: 61%
The Combat Edge model makes Hecher Sosa a 72% favorite over Luan Lacerda in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (61%).
Hecher Sosa holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1730 to 1652, a 78-point edge.
Hecher Sosa enters on a 10-fight win streak.
Hecher Sosa finishes 57% of wins inside the distance, Luan Lacerda 85%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.