Combat Edge Intelligence

Hecher Sosa vs Luan Lacerda

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Hecher Sosa
es

Hecher Sosa

“Guanche Warrior”

15-1-0BantamweightUFC

1717Good

Tale of the tape

15-1-0Record13-4-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'9"Height5'7"
70"Reach71"
135 lbsWeight135 lbs
Animal Fight CenterTeamNova Uniao

What's at stake

Hecher Sosa is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +13 while a loss costs more — Luan Lacerda carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Hecher SosaNow 1717
If they win+13→ 1730
If they lose-19→ 1698
Luan LacerdaNow 1652
If they win+19→ 1671
If they lose-13→ 1639

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1512 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1563 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.13
Sig. strikes / min
4.52
50%
Strike accuracy
44%
0.87
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
7.07
55%
Strike defense
48%
4
Takedown avg.
1.26
36%
Takedown accuracy
25%
100%
Takedown defense
75%
2
Submission avg.
0.63

Trajectory

Hecher SosaLuan Lacerda
160016501700202420252026

Win method breakdown

6 (43%)
KO/TKO
0 (0%)
2 (14%)
Submission
11 (85%)
6 (43%)
Decision
2 (15%)

Combat Edge model read

Hecher Sosa71%
Luan Lacerda 29%Elo baseline: 59%

The Combat Edge model makes Hecher Sosa a 71% favorite over Luan Lacerda in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (59%).

Hecher Sosa holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1717 to 1652, a 65-point edge.

Hecher Sosa enters on a 10-fight win streak.

Hecher Sosa finishes 57% of wins inside the distance, Luan Lacerda 85%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.